2020

​

Lau, W., Shiran, Y., Bailey, R., Cook, E., Stuchtey, M., Kokella, J., Velis, C., Godfrey, L., Boucher, J., Murphy, M., Thompson, R., Jankowska, E., Castillo, A., Pilditch, T., Dixon, B., Koerselman, L., Kosior, E., Favoino, E., Gutberlet, J., Baulch, S., Atreya, M., Fischer, D., He, K., Petit, M., Sumaila, U., Neil, E., Bernhofen, M., Lawrence, K., Palardy, J. 2020. Evaluating scenarios toward zero plastic pollution. Science. DOI: 10.1126/science.aba9475

​

Neil, E., Madsen, J., Carrella, E., Payette, N., Bailey, R. 2020. Agent-based modelling for elephant poaching mitigation. Ecological Modelling. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2020.109054.

​

​

2019

​

Buckland, C., Bailey R.M., Thomas, D.S.G. (in press) Using artificial neural networks to predict future dryland responses to human and climate disturbances. Nature Scientific Reports.

​

Carrella, E., Bailey, R.M., Madsen, J.K. (2019) Repeated discrete choices in geographical agent based models with an application to fisheries. Environ. Modelling & Software 111, 204-230. doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.08.023

​

​

2018

​

​

Bailey, R.M., Ernesto Carrella, Robert Axtell, Matthew G. Burgess, Reniel B. Cabral, Michael Drexler, Chris Dorsett, Jens Koed Madsen, Andreas Merkl, Steven Saul (2018) A computational approach to managing coupled human–environmental systems: the POSEIDON model of ocean fisheries. Sustainability Science 06, DOI:10.1007/s11625-018-0579-9

 

Cole, M.J., Bailey, R.M., Cullis, J.D.S., New, M.G. (2018) Water for sustainable development in the Berg Water Management Area, South Africa. 03/2018; 114(3/4)., DOI:10.17159/sajs.2018/20170134

​

Feng, W., Bailey, R.M  (2018) Unifying relationships between complexity and stability in mutualistic ecological communities. Journal of Theoretical Biology 439, pp.100-126.

​

Madsen, J.K., Bailey, R.M., Pilditch, T. (2018) Large networks of rational agents form persistent echo chambers, Scientific Reports, vol. 8, Article number: 12391. doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-25558-7

 

Madsen, J. K. (in press) Voter Reasoning Bias when Evaluating Statements from Female and Male Election Candidates, Politics & Gender XXX, xxx-xxx

 

Madsen, J. K., Hahn, U. & Pilditch, T. (in press) Partial source dependence and reliability revision: the impact of shared backgrounds, Proceedings of the 40th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society

 

Madsen, J. K. & Pilditch, T. (2018) A method for evaluating cognitively informed micro-targeted campaign strategies: An agent-based model proof of principle, PLoS One 13 (4), e0193909

 

   

2017

​

Cole, M.J., Bailey, R.M., New, M.G. (2017) Spatial variability in sustainable development trajectories in South Africa: provincial level safe and just operating spaces. Sustainability Science 02 DOI:10.1007/s11625-016-0418-9

​

Cole, M.J., Bailey, R.M., Cullis, J.D.S., New, M.G. (2017) Spatial inequality in water access and water use in South Africa. Water Policy 12/2017; 20(1):wp2017111., DOI:10.2166/wp.2017.111

​

Madsen, J. K., Bailey, R.M., Carrella, E. & Pilditch, T. (2017) Towards a Standard Cognitive Framework for Socially Oriented, Adaptive, and Generative Human-Environment Agents, AAAI Fall Symposium 2017

 

Madsen, J. K., Bailey, R.M. & Pilditch, T. (2017) Growing a Bayesian Conspiracy Theorist: An Agent-Based Model, In Gunzelmann, G., Howes, A., Tenbrink, T. & Davelaar, E. J. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society, 2657-2662

 

Madsen, J. K. & Pilditch, T. (2017) The strategic advantages of micro-targeted campaigning: A proof of principle Bayesian Agent-Based Model, In Gunzelmann, G., Howes, A., Tenbrink, T. & Davelaar, E. J. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society, 2651-2656

​

Madsen, J. K., Hahn, U. & Vorms, M. (2017) The dilution effect: Conversational basis and witness reliability, In Gunzelmann, G., Howes, A., Tenbrink, T. & Davelaar, E. J. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society, 2663-2668 

​

Mayaud, J.R., Bailey, R.M., Wiggs, G.F.S. (2017) Modelled responses of the Kalahari Desert to 21 century climate and land use change. Scientific Reports 06/2017; 7(1)., DOI:10.1038/s41598-017-04341-0

 

Mayaud, J.R., Bailey, R.M., Wiggs, G.S.F. (2017) A coupled vegetation/sediment-transport model for dryland environments: n/a. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface 03/2017; 122(4)., DOI:10.1002/2016JF004096

​

Mayaud, J.R., Bailey, R.M., Wiggs, G.F.S., Weaver, C.M. (2017) Modelling aeolian sand transport using a dynamic mass balancing approach. Geomorphology 280, pp.108-121

​

Pilucik, D. & Madsen, J. K. (2017) The Effect of Economic Scarcity Priming on Perception of Race, In Gunzelmann, G., Howes, A., Tenbrink, T. & Davelaar, E. J. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society, 2902-2906

​

Thomas, D.S.G., Bailey, R.M. (2017) Is there evidence for global-scale forcing of Southern Hemisphere Quaternary desert dune accumulation? A quantitative method for testing hypotheses of dune system development: Southern hemisphere Quaternary desert dune accumulation. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 06/2017; 42(14)., DOI:10.1002/esp.4183

​

Westaway, K.E., Louys, J., Due Awe, R., Morwood, M. J., Price, G. J., Zhao, J.-x., Aubert, M., Joannes-Boyau, R.,Smith, T. M., Skinner, M. M., Compton, T., Bailey, R. M., van den Bergh, G. D., de Vos, J., Pike, A. W. G., Stringer, C., Saptomo, E. W., Rizal, Y., Zaim, J., Santoso, W. D., Trihascaryo, A., Kinsley, L., Sulistyanto, B. (2017) An early modern human presence in Sumatra 73,000–63,000 years ago. Nature 08/2017; 548(7667)., DOI:10.1038/nature23452

​​

​

​

​

In progress

​

Carrella, E., Saul, S., Burgess, M., Cabral, R., Drexler, M., Marshall, K., Bailey, R., Dorsett, C. & Madsen, J. K.  (in progress) Simple adaptive rules describe fishing behaviour better than perfect rationality in the US West Coast Groundfish fishery

​

Madsen, J. K., Bailey, R.M., Carrella, E. & Koralus, P. (in progress) Analytic versus computational cognitive models: Agent-Based Models as a tool in cognitive sciences

​

Madsen, J. K., Bailey, R.M. & Carrella, R. (in progress) A general, adaptive framework for fisher decision-making